The Formula

#marchmadness Picks on Demand

beaver1312 — Thu, 17 Mar 2011 00:08:01 +0000

Trying to figure out if Pitt will beat BYU? Let me know tonight who you want a prediction for in a later round and I will post as immediately as possible.

I will be awake until shortly after 10pm Eastern time this evening and will answer tweets/comments as quickly as possible.

#marchmadness East Region #16 Texas San Antonio vs. #1 Ohio State

beaver1312 — Wed, 16 Mar 2011 23:39:17 +0000

Formula prediction: Ohio State wins by 12 points (87%)

#marchmadness East Region #12 Clemson vs. #5 West Virginia

beaver1312 — Wed, 16 Mar 2011 22:20:47 +0000

Formula prediction: West Virginia wins by 5 points

#marchmadness #upsets Top Upset Possibilities All Regions

beaver1312 — Wed, 16 Mar 2011 02:57:52 +0000

I don’t consider a #9 seed beating a #8 seed as an upset. So, with that being said, here are the top upset possibilities (I will update this to include known matchups once the play-in games are completed)

Seed – Team – Chance of Upset
#12 Utah State 82% over #5 Kansas State
#10 Florida State 79% over #7 Texas A&M
#15 Long Island 74% over #2 North Carolina
#13 Belmont 74% over #4 Wisconsin
#10 Michigan State 74% over #7 UCLA
#15 UC Santa Barbara 72% over #2 Florida
#11 Missouri 72% over #6 Cincinnati
#11 Marquette 72% over #6 Xavier
#14 Bucknell 28% over #3 Connecticut
#11 Gonzaga 28% over #6 Saint John’s
#12 Richmond 26% over #5 Vanderbilt
#13 Princeton 23% over #4 Kentucky
#14 Indiana State 22% over #3 Syracuse
#13 Morehead State 22% over #4 Louisville
#13 Oakland 22% over #4 Texas
#10 Penn State 22% over #7 Temple
#10 Georgia 22% over #7 Washington
#15 NC Asheville 21% over #2 Pittsburgh
#14 Wofford 21% over #3 Brigham Young
#12 Memphis 18% over #5 Arizona
#15 Akron 17% over #2 Notre Dame
#16 Hampton 14% over #1 Duke
#14 Saint Peter’s 14% over #3 Purdue
#15 Northern Colorado 9% over #2 San Diego State
#16 Boston University 2% over #1 Kansas

#marchmadness East Region #14 Indiana State vs. #3 Syracuse

beaver1312 — Wed, 16 Mar 2011 02:25:16 +0000

Formula prediction: Syracuse wins by 4 points (78%)

#marchmadness East Region #10 Georgia vs. #7 Washington

beaver1312 — Wed, 16 Mar 2011 02:21:10 +0000

Formula prediction: Washington wins by 4 points (78%)

#marchmadness #upsets East Region #11 Marquette vs. #6 Xavier

beaver1312 — Wed, 16 Mar 2011 02:19:10 +0000

Formula prediction: Marquette wins by 1 point (72%)
***Potential Upset***

#marchmadness #15seedwins #upsets East Region #15 Long Island vs. #2 North Carolina

beaver1312 — Wed, 16 Mar 2011 02:15:17 +0000

Formula prediction: Long Island wins by 2 points (74%)
***Potential Upset***

No, I don’t believe this will really happen but the calculation in my formula has been checked.

#marchmadness East Region #9 Villanova vs. #8 George Mason

beaver1312 — Wed, 16 Mar 2011 02:12:00 +0000

Formula prediction: Villanova wins by 3 points (77%)

#marchmadness West Region #16 Hampton vs. #1 Duke

beaver1312 — Wed, 16 Mar 2011 02:05:50 +0000

Formula prediction: Duke wins by 11 points (86%)